Wednesday, November 14, 2007

Gov’t to report alarming spike in HIV


CDC numbers may be 50 percent higher than originally thought


By LOU CHIBBARO JR. | Nov 14, 11:37 AM

Washington Blade

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control & Prevention is mulling over when to release alarming new statistics showing that as many as 50 percent more people are being infected with HIV each year in the United States than originally reported by the government.

According to AIDS advocacy groups familiar with the CDC, middle level officials at the disease prevention agency have quietly confided in colleagues in professional and scientific circles that the number of new HIV infections now appears to be as high as 58,000 to 63,000 cases in the most recent 12-month period.

On its web site this week, the CDC left unchanged its longstanding estimate that about 40,000 Americans per year become infected with HIV, a figure it says has remained “relatively stable” for most of the past decade.

CDC officials have told leaders of AIDS advocacy groups that the new figures are being withheld while they are subjected to a rigorous peer review process by an unidentified scientific journal, which is expected to publish the findings within the next few months.

Others familiar with the CDC have said CDC would likely publish the new data in its own journal, Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report.

“It seems to be a poorly kept secret,” said Michael Weinstein, president of the Los Angeles-based AIDS Healthcare Foundation. “Everybody who has dealings with the CDC is talking about it.

Read the rest.

2 comments:

  1. What is the difference between infection rate and incidence?...

    ReplyDelete
  2. So far one response came in as...
    What is the difference between the rate of new infections and incidence?

    > I am not in command of the medical
    > terminology, but likely it is:

    > 1.
    > the fraction of people infected today is
    > the incidence today

    > 2.
    > the rate (per year) of new infections is
    > the fraction of people who become infected
    > this year, who were not infected before

    > You cannot figure out incidence
    > from new infection rate, nor vice-versa,
    > without further information. This cluster of
    > questions is the beginning of
    > population genetics and epidemiology.
    > It is closely related to my work in
    > quantum mechanics.

    ReplyDelete

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